FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v Metta / LU Riga — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
1-1
HT 0-1
Metta / LU Riga
LET
3-2
HT 2-1
FK Tukums 2000
LET
FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Metta / LU Riga — Actual Match Statistics
Metta / LU Riga nicked a narrow win over FK Tukums 2000 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was FK Tukums 2000 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 39% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 61%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.41 to 1.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Metta / LU Riga's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for Metta / LU Riga.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga?
FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Metta / LU Riga?
Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 42%, draw 24%, Metta / LU Riga 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.