BFC Daugavpils 0-3 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
16.01
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
58%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.51
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
3%
+16.5pp
22%
Draw
12%
+10.1pp
58%
Away Win
84%
-26.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.0pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.74/2.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.66
-22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.4
12.0 Crosses 27.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.54 xG 3.07
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 27
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
157 Passes 505
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 54
7 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 3-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
20.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.04.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
08.08.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
0-3
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.02 xG 2.49
31% Ball Possession 69%
1 Total Shots 28
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
232 Passes 616
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
3 Box Touches 49
9 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola swept aside BFC Daugavpils 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 31% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 69%, shots finished 1-28, expected goals 0.02 to 2.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 2.83 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

BFC Daugavpils 0-3 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 20%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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