FK BANGA II 1-2 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BFA win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.4pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.9pp
53%
Away Win
70%
-16.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK BANGA II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 75%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
204 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK BANGA II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY BFA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 BFA BFA 2-2 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
05.11.2022 FK BANGA II 3-1 HT 3-0 BFA BFA LIT1
03.07.2022 BFA BFA 3-0 HT 1-0 FK BANGA II LIT1
25.09.2021 FK BANGA II 1-0 HT 1-0 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH FK BANGA II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA nicked a narrow win over FK BANGA II 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFA as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK BANGA II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FK BANGA II and 1.50 for BFA.

What was the final score of FK BANGA II vs BFA?

FK BANGA II 1-2 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK BANGA II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK BANGA II 22%, draw 25%, BFA 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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