Panevezys II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.73/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.99
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
27.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
08.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-4 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
0-3
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II cruised past Panevezys II 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris II found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Panevezys II had 50% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 50%, shots finished 7-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panevezys II and 1.33 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Panevezys II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 37%, draw 26%, Kauno Zalgiris II 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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