Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 19%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
1.93/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+8% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
25.05.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
06.04.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
17.09.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
08.07.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
02.05.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-0
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 54% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 51%, draw 28%, Dziugas Telsiai 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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