Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.92/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.67
+12% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.4 Crosses 22.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ujpest
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
334 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-5 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
09.12.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
26.08.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
01.04.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 3-2 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
05.11.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
13.08.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
0-2
AWAY Ujpest
1.86 xG 1.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
374 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest got the better of Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zalaegerszegi TE at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 58% of the ball to Ujpest's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.86 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.33 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ujpest?

Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 41%, draw 24%, Ujpest 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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