Paksi SE 3-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 6 Oct 2024

Paksi SE
3-1 HT 2-0
Ferencvaros
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
2.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/1.36
+21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
9.0 Crosses 25.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.11 xG 2.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
170 Passes 432
64% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.05.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
07.04.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
10.12.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 6-1 HT 6-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
08.04.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 1-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.02.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-3 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC

Paksi SE 3-1 Ferencvaros — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
3-1
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.43 xG 1.82
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
190 Passes 535
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE beat Ferencvaros 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Paksi SE found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 30% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 70%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.43 to 1.82 — on chances, Ferencvaros could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paksi SE and 2.33 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Paksi SE 3-1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 33%, draw 27%, Ferencvaros 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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