Celaya 3-1 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 6 Oct 2024

Celaya
3-1 HT 2-0
Cancun FC
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Celaya vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celaya v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.73/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
+12% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Celaya vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
14.02.2024 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
28.09.2023 Celaya Celaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
05.01.2023 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
14.09.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Celaya Celaya MEK2
12.01.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
18.11.2021 Celaya Celaya 3-1 HT 2-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celaya got the better of Cancun FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celaya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celaya and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Celaya vs Cancun FC?

Celaya 3-1 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Celaya 52%, draw 25%, Cancun FC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
6 Oct 2024
02:00 Monarcas Morelia vs Leones Negros Udeg Analysis →
04:00 Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Analysis →