Stabaek 2-3 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
0.51/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.00
-70% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
0W-2D-0L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.10.2022 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
17.07.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 2-2 HT 0-1 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
2-3
AWAY KFUM Oslo
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo edged past Stabaek 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stabaek had 47% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 53%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stabaek and 1.00 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs KFUM Oslo?

Stabaek 2-3 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - NM Cup on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 32%, draw 24%, KFUM Oslo 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ Over 2.5
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