Lilleström 1-2 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 51%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.65/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.82
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +108%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Molde
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
07.07.2024 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
12.11.2023 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 3-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
23.04.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 2-1 Molde Molde NOR
16.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
18.04.2022 Molde Molde 1-2 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
1-2
AWAY Molde
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde nicked a narrow win over Lilleström 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lilleström had 49% of the ball to Molde's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lilleström and 2.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Molde?

Lilleström 1-2 Molde in the Norway - NM Cup on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 24%, draw 29%, Molde 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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