Valerenga 0-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/2.79
-12% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
11 Corners 8
16.02.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 1-3 HT 0-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
01.10.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-2 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
06.05.2012 Valerenga Valerenga 3-2 HT 3-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
31.10.2011 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 2-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
12.09.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
0-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over Valerenga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Fredrikstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 52% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valerenga and 2.33 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?

Valerenga 0-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 39%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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