06/10/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Notodden vs Brann II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
23%
Draw
22%
30%
Away Win
24%
47%
Under 2.5
31%
53%
Over 2.5
69%
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
47%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Notodden v Brann II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Notodden
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brann II
EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% /
-10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.64/0.78
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.72/1.96
-23%
/
+67%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+28%
/
-6%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
7
6
Corners
4
468 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
0.5
Notodden vs Brann II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Notodden
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Brann II
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Notodden vs Brann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Notodden nicked a narrow win over Brann II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Notodden as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Notodden vs Brann II?
Notodden 2-1 Brann II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Notodden vs Brann II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Notodden 48%, draw 23%, Brann II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Notodden)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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6 Oct 2024