Hodd 1-0 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

Hodd
1-0 HT 0-0
Jerv
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Jerv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
21.04.2024 Jerv Jerv 2-1 HT 1-0 Hodd Hodd NOR3
23.09.2023 Hodd Hodd 2-2 HT 1-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
29.05.2023 Jerv Jerv 2-1 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
25.09.2016 Hodd Hodd 0-2 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR1
19.06.2016 Jerv Jerv 5-1 HT 4-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
08.11.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd nicked a narrow win over Jerv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hodd and 2.33 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Jerv?

Hodd 1-0 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hodd 46%, draw 29%, Jerv 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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