Orn Horten 0-1 Sotra SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
8%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 34% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orn Horten EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 49%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.11/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.42
+36% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orn Horten
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sotra SK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-0 HT 0-0 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
01.10.2022 Orn Horten Orn Horten 2-4 HT 2-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
03.07.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 4-2 HT 1-1 Orn Horten Orn Horten NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orn Horten
0-1
AWAY Sotra SK
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orn Horten vs Sotra SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK nicked a narrow win over Orn Horten 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Orn Horten had 40% of the ball to Sotra SK's 60%, shots finished 4-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sotra SK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orn Horten and 3.33 for Sotra SK.

What was the final score of Orn Horten vs Sotra SK?

Orn Horten 0-1 Sotra SK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orn Horten vs Sotra SK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orn Horten 31%, draw 26%, Sotra SK 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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