06/10/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Bodo / Glimt II vs HamKam II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
23%
Draw
13%
59%
Away Win
73%
64%
BTTS Yes
73%
36%
BTTS No
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bodo / Glimt II v HamKam II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bodo / Glimt II
EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY
HamKam II
EU Bookmakers 78%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-23%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
250 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
446 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Bodo / Glimt II vs HamKam II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bodo / Glimt II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
HamKam II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
5.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
2
Total Shots
22
1
Shots on Target
10
1
Corners
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bodo / Glimt II vs HamKam II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
HamKam II swept aside Bodo / Glimt II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had HamKam II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt II vs HamKam II?
Bodo / Glimt II 0-4 HamKam II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt II vs HamKam II?
Before kick-off our model rated an HamKam II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt II 18%, draw 23%, HamKam II 59%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (HamKam II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
6 Oct 2024