06/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Fredrikstad II vs Harstad Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
29%
Draw
24%
39%
Away Win
34%
41%
Under 2.5
28%
59%
Over 2.5
72%
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
40%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fredrikstad II v Harstad — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fredrikstad II
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Harstad
EU Bookmakers 38%
+21% /
+21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
1.74/0.71
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.06/1.46
-14%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
+35%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
332 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fredrikstad II vs Harstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Harstad got the better of Fredrikstad II 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Harstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Fredrikstad II vs Harstad?
Fredrikstad II 0-2 Harstad in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fredrikstad II vs Harstad?
Before kick-off our model rated an Harstad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad II 32%, draw 29%, Harstad 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Harstad)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
6 Oct 2024