Mjolner 2-6 Ulfstind — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

Mjolner
2-6 HT 1-3
Ulfstind
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - 3rd Division – 2024

Mjolner vs Ulfstind Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.31
No
39%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.8pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mjolner v Ulfstind — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjolner EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulfstind EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.18/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+49% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +111%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Mjolner vs Ulfstind
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulfstind ran out comfortable winners over Mjolner 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mjolner at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Mjolner vs Ulfstind?

Mjolner 2-6 Ulfstind in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjolner vs Ulfstind?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjolner win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mjolner 45%, draw 20%, Ulfstind 35%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjolner) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjolner) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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