Funnefoss / Vormsund 0-3 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
62%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
3.94
Over Pick
74%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 74%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
5%
+17.9pp
16%
Draw
8%
+8.4pp
62%
Away Win
88%
-26.3pp
26%
Under 2.5
22%
+4.8pp
74%
Over 2.5
78%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Funnefoss / Vormsund EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 94%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.18/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.95/1.04
+14% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
243 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Funnefoss / Vormsund
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.06.2024 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 3-2 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund NOR4
26.08.2023 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 5-0 HT 1-0 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund NOR4
28.05.2023 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund 0-2 HT 0-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
POST-MATCH Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK ran out comfortable winners over Funnefoss / Vormsund 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Funnefoss / Vormsund and 3.33 for Hönefoss BK.

What was the final score of Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Hönefoss BK?

Funnefoss / Vormsund 0-3 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Funnefoss / Vormsund 23%, draw 16%, Hönefoss BK 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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