Gjellerasen 3-2 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.98
Over Pick
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.0pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.33/2.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.55
+15% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gjellerasen
3-2
AWAY Aalesund II
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gjellerasen vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjellerasen edged past Aalesund II 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gjellerasen had 45% of the ball to Aalesund II's 55%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Gjellerasen vs Aalesund II?

Gjellerasen 3-2 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gjellerasen vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gjellerasen 31%, draw 26%, Aalesund II 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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