Rana 1-0 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
23%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Rana win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-19.2pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rana EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/3.54
-5% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rana
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg II
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-2 HT 0-1 Rana Rana NOR4
04.09.2023 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rana Rana NOR4
24.04.2023 Rana Rana 4-3 HT 2-2 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
12.09.2022 Rana Rana 2-3 HT 1-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
27.07.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 7-4 HT 2-1 Rana Rana NOR4
POST-MATCH Rana vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rana edged past Rosenborg II 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rana had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Rana and 2.80 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Rana vs Rosenborg II?

Rana 1-0 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rana vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rana 63%, draw 23%, Rosenborg II 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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