Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-1 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.58
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3-1
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki got the better of Resovia Rzeszow 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 54% of the ball to Resovia Rzeszow's 46%, shots finished 20-8.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3-1 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 49%, draw 20%, Resovia Rzeszow 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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