Polonia Bytom 3-0 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
+93% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Kalisz
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
19.04.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
08.10.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
3-0
AWAY Kalisz
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom ran out comfortable winners over Kalisz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 57% of the ball to Kalisz's 43%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Polonia Bytom and 0.67 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz?

Polonia Bytom 3-0 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 55%, draw 23%, Kalisz 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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