Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.48
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
25.09.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-2 HT 0-2 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
16.07.2020 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL1
26.10.2019 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-2
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz squeezed past Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 47% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.00 for Olimpia Grudziadz.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 44%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziadz 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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