Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-1
HT 0-1
Piast Gliwice
POL
0-2
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Piast Gliwice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 55% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.86 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Piast Gliwice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 46%, draw 27%, Piast Gliwice 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.