Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.33/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.18
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
09.10.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 HT 1-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
17.11.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
08.08.2021 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
28.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS1
01.11.2020 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and Neftekhimik played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Baltika Kaliningrad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.83 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Neftekhimik?

Baltika Kaliningrad 0-0 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 48%, draw 27%, Neftekhimik 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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