Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 46%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
17.07.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2-0
AWAY Chernomorets
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaniya Vladikavkaz got the better of Chernomorets 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alaniya Vladikavkaz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 53% of the ball to Chernomorets's 47%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chernomorets led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alaniya Vladikavkaz and 1.50 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 33%, draw 31%, Chernomorets 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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