06/10/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
FC Sochi vs Chayka Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
24%
Draw
22%
25%
Away Win
15%
55%
Under 2.5
51%
45%
Over 2.5
49%
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
58%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Sochi v Chayka — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Sochi
EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chayka
EU Bookmakers 18%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+30%
1.51/0.73
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.16/1.26
-9%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+44%
/
+24%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
354 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
302 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
3.1
POST-MATCH
FC Sochi vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Sochi swept aside Chayka 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sochi as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Chayka?
FC Sochi 5-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Chayka?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 51%, draw 24%, Chayka 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Sochi)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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6 Oct 2024