Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.62/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.71
-7% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.3
26.8 Crosses 10.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 0.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
359 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
29.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
15.04.2023 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
27.08.2022 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello 1-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
26.03.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 4-1 HT 2-0 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
19.11.2021 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 HT 2-1 Academia Puerto Cabello Academia Puerto Cabello VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Puerto Cabello
2-0
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.16 xG 0.62
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
383 Passes 152
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academia Puerto Cabello vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academia Puerto Cabello got the better of Hermanos Colmenarez 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Academia Puerto Cabello as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Academia Puerto Cabello had 67% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.16 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Academia Puerto Cabello and 1.67 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Academia Puerto Cabello vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Puerto Cabello vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academia Puerto Cabello win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Academia Puerto Cabello 56%, draw 25%, Hermanos Colmenarez 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academia Puerto Cabello) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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