Zamora 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

Zamora
1-0 HT 1-0
Estudiantes De Merida
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zamora v Estudiantes De Merida — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.40
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.2 Crosses 22.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.6

Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
257 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 3-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
23.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-2 HT 1-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.02.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-5 HT 1-4 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
15.09.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
05.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
22.10.2021 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN

Zamora 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.59 xG 1.02
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
201 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zamora had 43% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 57%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.59 to 1.02 — on chances, Estudiantes De Merida could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zamora and 1.83 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Zamora 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zamora 38%, draw 32%, Estudiantes De Merida 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamora), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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