Landskrona 2-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
28%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
5.99
X/2
16%
5.52
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.51
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.54
+5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Varbergs
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2025 Varbergs Varbergs 4-2 HT 4-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
26.08.2024 Landskrona Landskrona 1-4 HT 1-2 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
22.07.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-1 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
2-1
AWAY Varbergs
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona nicked a narrow win over Varbergs 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Landskrona found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Landskrona had 56% of the ball to Varbergs's 44%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Varbergs led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Landskrona and 3.00 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Varbergs?

Landskrona 2-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 38%, draw 24%, Varbergs 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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