Landskrona 1-4 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.17
X/2
11%
9.9
X/X
14%
5.87
2/1
6%
20.95
2/2
9%
6.94
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.65/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.16
-4% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.07.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 1-1 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
1-4
AWAY Varbergs
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs swept aside Landskrona 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Landskrona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Landskrona had 63% of the ball to Varbergs's 37%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Varbergs?

Landskrona 1-4 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 46%, draw 26%, Varbergs 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Landskrona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Landskrona) ✓ Over 2.5
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