Örgryte 1-3 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Aug 2024

Örgryte
1-3 HT 0-2
Degerfors
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.19
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.42
X/2
13%
5.22
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.13
2/X
9%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.39/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.29
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Örgryte vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Degerfors
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.02.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 5-0 HT 3-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇK
21.10.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
24.07.2020 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
22.10.2019 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 0-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
20.04.2019 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2

Örgryte 1-3 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-3
AWAY Degerfors
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors got the better of Örgryte 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Degerfors made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Örgryte had 51% of the ball to Degerfors's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Örgryte and 2.33 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Degerfors?

Örgryte 1-3 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 40%, draw 25%, Degerfors 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Örgryte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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