Vitesse 1-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Oct 2025

Vitesse
1 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Den Bosch
📅06/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.43
Over Pick
64%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.45
No
36%
2.56
Total Goals
0-1
16%
4.97
2-3
43%
1.94
4-5
30%
2.59
6+
11%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.29
1/2
3%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.8
X/2
12%
6.22
X/X
13%
6.03
2/1 ✗
4%
22.7
2/2
20%
3.66
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 4% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Vitesse v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitesse The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.62 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.65
1.33 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
26 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
388 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
09.05.2025 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
18.10.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
27.02.2005 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.11.2004 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
25.09.2004 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
23.02.2002 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL

Vitesse 1-2 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1 - 2
AWAY Den Bosch
1.14 xG 2.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 2
392 Passes 242
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 22
38 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Vitesse vs Den Bosch
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Den Bosch came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Vitesse 2-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

We leaned Vitesse at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Vitesse had 62% of the ball to Den Bosch's 38%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.14 to 2.29.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vitesse and 1.33 for Den Bosch.

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Result & Final Score

Vitesse 1 - 2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitesse vs Den Bosch Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 41%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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