Vitesse 3-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.31
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.95
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.31
X/2
9%
6.87
X/X
13%
5.85
2/1
11%
22.0
2/2
13%
4.37
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.0pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.84/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
-29% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
25.6 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
18.10.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
27.02.2005 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.11.2004 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOK
25.09.2004 Vitesse Vitesse 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
23.02.2002 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL
15.12.2001 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 1-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
3-1
AWAY Den Bosch
0.68 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
388 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse got the better of Den Bosch 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitesse as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vitesse had 57% of the ball to Den Bosch's 43%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 1.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Den Bosch?

Vitesse 3-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 48%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitesse) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ BTTS No
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