Roda 0-1 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.39
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
13%
8.52
X/X
13%
6.18
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
12%
5.68
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.45/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.17
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.1 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
22.01.2024 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 3-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
05.05.2023 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-3 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
18.12.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
0-1
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.36 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
416 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roda vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven squeezed past Roda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Roda at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roda had 53% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 47%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.36 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.17 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Roda vs FC Eindhoven?

Roda 0-1 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roda 44%, draw 26%, FC Eindhoven 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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