FC Eindhoven 0-0 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.98
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.55
X/1
14%
6.4
X/2
11%
5.35
X/X
8%
5.4
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.1
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 1/X at 12.55 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+9.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.45/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.42
-12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.9 Crosses 20.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Roda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
288 Passes 395
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2024 Roda Roda 3-0 HT 3-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
06.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
05.05.2023 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-3 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
18.12.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
01.10.2021 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
0-0
AWAY Roda
0.87 xG 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
355 Passes 448
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven and Roda fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FC Eindhoven at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 46% of the ball to Roda's 54%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Eindhoven and 1.83 for Roda.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Roda?

FC Eindhoven 0-0 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 44%, draw 24%, Roda 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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