Roda 3-0 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Jan 2024

📅22/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.02
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
10%
4.03
X/2
11%
10.35
X/X
13%
5.86
2/1
9%
20.95
2/2
11%
7.43
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.68/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.49
-6% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
23.6 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.45 xG 1.38
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
05.05.2023 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.09.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-3 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
18.12.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
01.10.2021 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
07.05.2021 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
3-0
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.44 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 405
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda cruised past FC Eindhoven 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Roda had 44% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 56%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.44 to 1.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roda and 1.33 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Roda vs FC Eindhoven?

Roda 3-0 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Roda 45%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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