AZ Alkmaar II vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
3-1
HT 0-1
Dordrecht
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
Dordrecht
HOL2
4-0
HT 2-0
Dordrecht
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 5-1 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II cruised past Dordrecht 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had AZ Alkmaar II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 44% of the ball to Dordrecht's 56%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 3.04 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 0.83 for Dordrecht.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Dordrecht?
AZ Alkmaar II 5-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Dordrecht?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 41%, draw 28%, Dordrecht 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.