MVV Maastricht 2-2 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
13%
8.83
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
9%
5.89
2/X
5%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.93/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.53
+27% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.5 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.25 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
431 Passes 331
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.11.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
10.02.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
07.10.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
06.05.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 0-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
03.12.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-2
AWAY FC Oss
1.10 xG 0.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
375 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 20
39 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht and FC Oss shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 64% of the ball to FC Oss's 36%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 0.33 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs FC Oss?

MVV Maastricht 2-2 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 48%, draw 24%, FC Oss 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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