Volendam 2-4 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Sep 2024

Volendam
2-4 HT 0-2
VVV-Venlo
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Volendam vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.15
X/2
6%
10.95
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.45
2/2
13%
7.53
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
2.11/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.73
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.4 Crosses 15.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Volendam vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
428 Passes 175
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
17.09.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
04.08.2018 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HAZ
17.02.2017 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
09.09.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
29.01.2016 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Volendam 2-4 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
2-4
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.37 xG 3.05
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
455 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volendam vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo saw off Volendam 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Volendam at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 64% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 36%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.37 to 3.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volendam and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Volendam vs VVV-Venlo?

Volendam 2-4 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Volendam 53%, draw 24%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volendam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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