ADO Den Haag 1-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.77
2-3 Goals
41%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
17.25
X/1
13%
3.85
X/2
7%
14.5
X/X
12%
7.39
2/1
8%
19.9
2/2
8%
10.05
2/X
5%
17.5
Value flag · 1/X at 17.25 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.67/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.57
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.6 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.76 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
343 Passes 299
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-2 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
27.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6-0 HT 4-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.01.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
24.04.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
06.12.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-4 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-1
AWAY Utrecht II
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag and Utrecht II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was ADO Den Haag at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 62% of the ball to Utrecht II's 38%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.67 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht II?

ADO Den Haag 1-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 52%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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