VVV-Venlo 2-7 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.16
1/2
6%
22.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
10%
7.48
X/2
15%
4.88
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.68
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.18
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
22.1 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
22.01.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
27.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
27.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
04.11.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-3 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.04.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-5 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-7
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.04 xG 3.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 7
266 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag ran out comfortable winners over VVV-Venlo 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day ADO Den Haag made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 42% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 58%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.04 to 3.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.83 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs ADO Den Haag?

VVV-Venlo 2-7 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 37%, draw 24%, ADO Den Haag 39%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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