Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
0-2
HT 0-2
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-4
HT 0-2
De Graafschap
HOL2
Helmond Sport 1-4 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap swept aside Helmond Sport 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day De Graafschap made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 52% of the ball to De Graafschap's 48%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.60 to 2.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helmond Sport and 2.17 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?
Helmond Sport 1-4 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 35%, draw 27%, De Graafschap 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.