Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cambuur v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 4-1
MVV Maastricht
HOK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cambuur
HOL2
2-0
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-7
HT 1-4
Cambuur
HOL2
Cambuur 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
Cambuur squeezed past MVV Maastricht 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cambuur had 57% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.74 to 0.56.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Cambuur and 0.83 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?
Cambuur 1-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cambuur vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 61%, draw 22%, MVV Maastricht 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.