Telstar 3-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
10%
7.71
X/X
13%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.45
2/2
15%
5.13
2/X
5%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.45 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
1.60/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
+1% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.0 Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Emmen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
278 Passes 369
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
19.04.2024 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
06.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
27.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
06.08.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
09.04.2018 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 1-3 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
3-0
AWAY Emmen
1.74 xG 0.81
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
133 Passes 360
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar cruised past Emmen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Telstar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Telstar had 32% of the ball to Emmen's 68%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.74 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Telstar and 1.67 for Emmen.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Emmen?

Telstar 3-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Telstar 46%, draw 24%, Emmen 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Telstar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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