Emmen 0-1 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 27 Oct 2024

Emmen
0-1 HT 0-1
Telstar
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Emmen vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.59
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.28
X/2
10%
7.46
X/X
13%
4.95
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
9%
5.59
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.62/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.27
-16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.0 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Emmen vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Telstar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
363 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
06.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
27.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
06.08.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
09.04.2018 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 1-3 Telstar Telstar HOL2
08.12.2017 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 0-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-1
AWAY Telstar
0.65 xG 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
391 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar edged past Emmen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Emmen had 57% of the ball to Telstar's 43%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.65 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Telstar?

Emmen 0-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emmen 46%, draw 26%, Telstar 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Emmen)
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