MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
4-0
HT 2-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-2
HT 2-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 1-2 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over MVV Maastricht 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 49% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 51%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.62 to 1.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Helmond Sport's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for MVV Maastricht and 0.83 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport?
MVV Maastricht 1-2 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 42%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.