De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
0-2
HT 0-2
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-4
HT 0-2
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
De Graafschap 2-3 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport squeezed past De Graafschap 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, De Graafschap had 56% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.30 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for De Graafschap and 0.83 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
De Graafschap 2-3 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 51%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.