Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pumas UNAM v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pumas UNAM 1-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara shaded a tight game against Pumas UNAM 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Guadalajara found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 54%.
Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Pumas UNAM's favour, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.65 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Pumas UNAM against 0.83 for Guadalajara.
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara Result & Final Score
Pumas UNAM 1 - 2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 39%, draw 30%, Guadalajara 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5 went the other way.