Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Pumas UNAM — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Pumas UNAM
MEK
1-0
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
1-2
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
3-1
HT 3-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
4-1
HT 1-1
Pumas UNAM
MEK
Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas UNAM — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara got the better of Pumas UNAM 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 50% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 50%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.62 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM?
Guadalajara 3-1 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 43%, draw 28%, Pumas UNAM 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.